Who decides, on what basis, and who answers when it is wrong.

AI agents are moving into the decision points organisations run on. Two companion practice guides define the discipline for governing what has been delegated to them: The Decision Analyst examines each decision point before an agent takes it over, and The Decision Architect owns the estate those decisions add up to.

Forthcoming from Routledge (Taylor & Francis). Manuscript submitted September 2026.

The decision estate: one decision point analysed, thousands more running.
The books

A matched pair: the decision point, then the estate

The discipline defines two roles, and each role gets its own practice guide. The books are written to be taught together: ten chapters each, one chapter per teaching session, with shared terminology, a shared competency framework and a shared set of artefacts.

Book one

The Decision Analyst

Dr Greg Timbrell with Scott Stewart

Forthcoming from Routledge

When an AI agent replaces a person at a decision point, human judgement is replaced by a probabilistic decision. The agent will be right most of the time. The questions that matter are how often it is wrong, what a wrong decision costs, and who answers for it. This book defines the role whose job is to find out before the agent is deployed, and the Decision Requirements Document (DRD) that records the analysis.

Contents

  1. The making of a Decision Analyst
  2. Decision inputs
  3. Accountability
  4. Outputs and risk
  5. Escalation, human judgement and costs
  6. Security
  7. Auditability and reversibility
  8. The Decision Requirements Document
  9. Decision governance
  10. The framework and the profession
Buy or pre-order Cover, date and buy link to come from Routledge.
Book two

The Decision Architect

Scott Stewart with Dr Greg Timbrell

In development, opening chapters drafted

The Decision Analyst stands at one decision point and inspects it. The Decision Architect stands back and looks at all of them: the thousands of decision points an organisation actually runs, the agents now sitting in them, and the flows between them. Its central claim is that this layer, the organisation's decision DNA, sits above the systems and below the strategy, and nobody currently owns it.

Working outline

  1. From one diamond to twenty thousand
  2. Who is the Decision Architect?
  3. Mapping the decision estate
  4. Decision collisions
  5. Decision chains and orchestration
  6. Decisions across the boundary
  7. Decision economics and token optimisation
  8. Stewarding the Delegation Register
  9. The decision portfolio and assurance
  10. The decision architecture profession
Register interest Publisher and publication date to be confirmed.
The method

Analyse the decision before the agent takes it over

Every approval step, eligibility check, priority ranking, routing rule, threshold and escalation is a decision point. Organisations are placing AI agents into them at pace, usually with testing that asks whether the software runs. An AI agent needs a further layer of testing that software never required, because it is substituting for human judgement: how often is it right, how does it behave at the edges, and what does a wrong decision cost?

The Decision Analyst works through 11 Decision Components for each decision point and reports the analysis in a Decision Requirements Document, which goes to the Decision Architect, the AI Committee or the Board before the agent is implemented. The natural feeder for the role is the Business Analyst, with risk and governance literacy and the testing of probabilistic decisions added.

1Authority

On what legal or delegated basis is the decision made?

2Accountability

Who answers for the outcome?

3Inputs

What data feeds the decision, and can it be trusted?

4Outputs

What determinations is the agent allowed to return?

5Risk

What is the consequence if the decision is incorrect?

6Judgement

Can it be reduced to rules, or is human judgement still required?

7Escalation

What flags hand the decision back to a person?

8Auditability

Can the decision be reconstructed after the fact?

9Reversibility

Could the organisation take the agent out again?

10Security

What can the agent reach, and what can it do?

11Cost

What does the decision point cost to run, and to get wrong?

Recorded in the DRD

Every component, analysed and signed off before implementation.

Authority

The right to decide or act, traced to a Delegation Register, policy or position description. When an agent takes over, the authority must be reassigned, not assumed.

Accountability

The obligation to answer for the outcome. It sits higher than the person who holds the authority, and it never transfers to an AI agent.

Responsibility

The duty to carry out the work. Not the same as answering for the outcome. The method depends on holding the three apart.

The Decision Requirements Document

The Decision Analyst's principal deliverable: one document that records the analysis of a decision point and becomes the basis for commissioning, testing and governing the agent placed in it. Eleven sections, drawn directly from the components.

  • Introduction and consultation details
  • Decision point inputs and outputs
  • Authority and accountability
  • Escalation points, judgement and costs
  • Upstream and downstream analysis
  • Auditability
  • Reversibility
  • Security
  • Risk
  • Training
  • Recommendations
The estate

What no analysis of a single decision point can catch

From The Decision Architect, chapter one

Two letters in one week

On the Monday, a hardship agent in customer care reviewed an age pensioner's overdue account, found three missed instalments and a concession card on file, approved a six-month payment arrangement and wrote to confirm it. On the Thursday, a collections agent in finance reviewed the same account, found it more than 90 days overdue and above the referral threshold, referred it to an external collection agency and wrote to say so.

Neither agent had failed. Each had a sound DRD, a named accountable officer, a tested error rate and approval from the AI Committee. What neither document contained was any reference to the other agent. For years the overlap had been resolved by two people emailing each other. When the two people became two agents, that coordination vanished, and nothing in the organisation was positioned to notice. The complaint reached the ombudsman within the fortnight.

The layer nobody owns

Enterprise architecture owns how information moves between systems. Business architecture owns capabilities and value streams. Neither records who is allowed to decide, on what basis, and who answers when it is wrong. That middle layer is the organisation's decision DNA: its Decision Network Architecture. Every organisation has one; most have never seen theirs drawn.

Business architectureCapabilities and value streams: what the organisation does, and in what order.
Owned by the Business Architect
Decision architectureDecision rights, delegations, business rules and decision flows: who decides, on what basis, with what accountability.
Currently unowned. The Decision Architect's layer.
Technology architectureSystems of record, data and integration: where the information lives and how it moves.
Owned by the Enterprise Architect

The Decision Architect works through five artefacts

The decision estate

The inventory of decision points, human and machine, with tier, ownership, automation status and delegation level.

Decision DNA

The organisation's decision layer, defined as an architecture with its own views, made visible and kept current.

The decision map

How decision points chain, feed and depend on each other, including agent-to-agent flows and flows that cross the organisation's boundary.

The Delegation Register, extended

Machine limits recorded alongside human ones, stewarded by the Decision Architect as configurations and thresholds change.

The decision portfolio

Which decisions to automate, keep with a person or retire, run through the lifecycle from design to retirement.

The decision register metamodel

The decision point as a first-class object, linked to agent, process, system, rule, risk and delegation instrument. The schema behind the forthcoming tool at rigor.apps.

Resource hub

Working material for practitioners

The templates and references that make the method usable from day one. [Prototype note: gating shown is indicative; each resource can be set to open, email-gated or reserved once decided.]

The DRD template

The Decision Requirements Document in an editable format, structured by the 11 components.

Email-gatedRequest

The component checklist

A one-page checklist for interrogating a decision point before automation.

A worked example

One decision point analysed end to end, genericised, showing the method in action.

Email-gatedRequest

Decision risk tiering

The tiered risk classification that sets governance requirements for each decision.

To be confirmedEnquire

The lifecycle model

Design, Approval, Testing, Deployment, Monitoring, Review, Retirement.

To be confirmedEnquire

Glossary

The discipline's defined terms as a public reference, from decision point to decision estate.

OpenRead
The authors

Behind the discipline

Dr Greg Timbrell

Primary author, The Decision Analyst

After holding senior roles in international technology consulting firms and government, specialising in enterprise systems, Dr Timbrell joined the university sector, where his research extended to knowledge management, consulting and digital strategy. His doctoral and master's students were predominantly senior technology executives. He won teaching prizes across a variety of information systems subjects and became a Director of Teaching and Learning. He has presented his research and trained senior technology consultants all over the world, and now works as an academic governance consultant, chairing Academic Boards and reviewing technology and business courses.

Scott Stewart

Primary author, The Decision Architect

Scott Stewart leads AI strategy and governance at a large Australian city council. He is a senior enterprise transformation and commercial leader with more than twenty years' experience delivering complex change across financial services and government, and has served as both a chief information officer and a chief procurement officer. His work now centres on how organisations govern the decisions they delegate to AI.

For educators

Built to be taught

Both books run ten chapters of 2,000 to 2,500 words, each mapping to one teaching session, and share a competency framework a training provider can certify against.

  • Business AnalysisThe Decision Analyst as the next step in the analyst's craft, with the Business Analyst as the natural feeder role.
  • Governance and riskAuthority, accountability and the Delegation Register as governance instruments, including the trust case behind ISO/IEC 42001 certification.
  • Business Process ManagementDecision points as first-class objects within processes marked for automation.
  • Enterprise and business architectureThe three-layer stack, and where decision architecture sits against TOGAF and DMN.
  • Director capabilityWhat a Board must ask before an AI agent decides on the organisation's behalf.

Rights and adoption

For inspection copies, course-adoption enquiries, rights and translations, contact the authors directly or via the publisher. [Placeholder: add the Routledge rights and inspection-copy links when supplied.]

Make an enquiry
Contact

Enquiries

For speaking, media, consulting, training, review copies, course adoption, or questions about the method, we welcome your enquiry.

Direct

Greg Timbrell: greg.timbrell@gmail.com
Scott Stewart: [preferred contact address to add]